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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Los Angeles Chargers vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 7.5-point advantage, the Chargers are heavily favored in this week's contest, suggesting much more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
  • The model projects the Chargers to be the 4th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.5% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.2 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • This week, J.K. Dobbins is projected by the model to position himself in the 99th percentile among running backs with 19.8 rush attempts.
  • Among all RBs, J.K. Dobbins ranks in the 88th percentile for carries this year, accounting for 58.5% of the workload in his team's ground game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.7 plays per game.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

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