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J.K. Dobbins

J.K. Dobbins Carries
Player Prop Week 6

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-130/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Chargers to run on 47.9% of their plays: the 4th-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The model projects J.K. Dobbins to garner 18.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • J.K. Dobbins has received 53.8% of his offense's carries this year, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among RBs.
  • The Denver defensive ends grade out as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Chargers have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a measly 50.5 plays per game.

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