J.K. Dobbins Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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J.K. Dobbins

NFL · Player Props

J.K. Dobbins

RB · Baltimore Ravens

Carries

New England Patriots vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

J.K. Dobbins Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+116/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 4th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 47.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens have called the most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 67.3 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects J.K. Dobbins to total 12.5 rush attempts in this contest, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 117.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
The New England Patriots defensive tackles project as the 5th-best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.
The New England Patriots have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.9% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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