Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jimmy Garoppolo

NFL · Player Props

Jimmy Garoppolo

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

TD Passes

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:11 PM UTC

Analysis

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 37.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-most of all QBs.
Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most accurate passers in the NFL since the start of last season with an impressive 67.8% Completion%, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills defense has allowed the 9th-least passing TDs in the league: 1.18 per game since the start of last season.
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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