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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes
Player Prop Week 1

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Jimmy Garoppolo TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+124/-158).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -158.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Raiders are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The Raiders have been the 4th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 62.2% red zone pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 36.4 passes this week, on average: the 9th-most of all quarterbacks.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in football since the start of last season with a stellar 66.9% Completion%, ranking in the 87th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to run the 7th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 5th-least passing TDs in the NFL: 1.18 per game since the start of last season.
  • The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 4th-best unit in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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