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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 13

San Francisco 49ers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jimmy Garoppolo Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-121/-119).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 36.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box against opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • The 49ers have been the 10th-least pass-centric offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.2% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-smallest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 126.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 33.5 passes this week, on average: the 10th-least of all QBs.
  • The San Francisco 49ers have gone no-huddle on a mere 3.4% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (7th-least in football). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat production.

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