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Jimmy Garoppolo

Jimmy Garoppolo Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Carolina Panthers vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jimmy Garoppolo Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-120/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in football.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest level in the league vs. the Carolina Panthers defense this year (72.7%).
  • The San Francisco 49ers have been faced with a stacked the box on 18.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Carolina Panthers have stacked the box versus opponents on 26.1% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 49ers are a 6-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 2nd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.2% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run among all games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jimmy Garoppolo to attempt 31.7 passes this week, on average: the 5th-least of all QBs.
  • Jimmy Garoppolo's throwing precision has declined this season, with his Completion% falling off from 68.2% to 62.1%.

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