Jerry Jeudy Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerry Jeudy's 55.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the league leaders: 83rd percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos as the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 54.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by our trusted projection set to see only 122.4 plays on offense run: the 2nd-lowest number out of all the games this week.
The Denver Broncos have run the fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 50.7 plays per game.
The Packers defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 5th-most passes in football (34.0 per game) this year.
As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Green Bay's group of CBs has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 3rd-best in football.

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