Jerry Jeudy Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 13, 2023 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
This week, Jerry Jeudy is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.1 targets.
Jerry Jeudy's 57.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 84th percentile for wideouts.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
This year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a feeble 59.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-lowest rate in football.
The Chiefs cornerbacks project as the 7th-best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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