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Jerry Jeudy

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 47.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 43.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 47.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.8% pass rate.
  • Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.
  • After totaling 68.0 air yards per game last year, Jerry Jeudy has gotten better this year, now sitting at 82.0 per game.
  • Jerry Jeudy rates as one of the best pass-catching wide receivers this year, averaging a remarkable 53.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.
  • The Commanders defense has yielded the 7th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (169.0) to wideouts this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 85.5% snap rate this season signifies a remarkable gain in his offensive utilization over last season's 66.2% mark.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • Jerry Jeudy's 58.5% Adjusted Catch Rate this year shows a substantial decline in his pass-catching skills over last year's 64.6% figure.
  • Jerry Jeudy's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this season, compiling a measly 7.30 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 8.96 mark last season.

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