Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jerry Jeudy

NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 12, 2023 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 54.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 53.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 54.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Broncos being a a giant -10.5-point underdog this week.
This week, Jerry Jeudy is anticipated by the projection model to find himself in the 78th percentile when it comes to wide receivers with 7.1 targets.
When it comes to air yards, Jerry Jeudy grades out in the towering 87th percentile among WRs this year, averaging an impressive 88.0 per game.
Jerry Jeudy's 57.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 84th percentile for wideouts.
Jerry Jeudy's 6.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season represents a a substantial gain in his effectiveness in the open field over last season's 4.8% mark.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-fewest on the slate this week.
The Broncos have called the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 51.8 plays per game.
Jerry Jeudy's 51.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season shows a an impressive decrease in his receiving skills over last season's 63.0 rate.
Jerry Jeudy's 8.1 adjusted yards per target this year reflects a a noteable reduction in his pass-catching talent over last year's 9.4 figure.
This year, the daunting Kansas City Chiefs defense has conceded a feeble 59.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 7th-lowest rate in football.

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