Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Jerry Jeudy

WR · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Washington Commanders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerry Jeudy Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Jerry Jeudy has accrued a colossal 89.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 90th percentile among WRs.
Jerry Jeudy has been among the best WRs in the league since the start of last season, averaging a stellar 63.0 yards per game while checking in at the 86th percentile.
Jerry Jeudy has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football, averaging a stellar 9.42 yards-per-target since the start of last season while ranking in the 82nd percentile among wideouts.
Jerry Jeudy has been among the leading WRs in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a stellar 4.82 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 75th percentile.
The Washington Commanders pass defense has shown weak efficiency versus wide receivers since the start of last season, conceding 9.10 yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this year in head coach Sean Payton, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 1.4% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
The Broncos are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 54.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Denver Broncos offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 30.43 seconds per play.
Opposing QBs have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Washington Commanders defense since the start of last season: 3rd-least in football.