Jerome Ford Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Arizona Cardinals

Touchdowns

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 4:03 PM EST

Analysis

Jerome Ford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1011/-1150).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme passing game script is implied by the Cardinals being a giant -8.5-point underdog in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 61.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest clip on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to be the 10th-most pass-focused team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 59.3% red zone pass rate.
The 2nd-most plays in football have been called by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a monstrous 65.5 per game on average).
The Seattle Seahawks defense has been torched for the 8th-most receiving TDs in football to running backs: 0.25 per game this year.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Cardinals to call the fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 61.0 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Seattle Seahawks, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (just 32.8 per game) this year.
This year, the tough Seahawks defense has allowed a meager 68.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 9th-lowest rate in football.
The Seattle defensive tackles rank as the worst group of DTs in football this year with their run defense.

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