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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Philadelphia Eagles vs Cleveland Browns

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Browns being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

The model projects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.6% pass rate.

The projections expect the Browns to run the 6th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 66.0 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The 8th-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a staggering 60.0 per game on average).

The Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in football (35.0 per game) this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Eagles pass defense has given up the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (79%) versus RBs since the start of last season (79.0%).

When it comes to defensive ends pass-rushing, Philadelphia's group of DEs has been phenomenal this year, profiling as the 2nd-best in the league.

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