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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-170/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Browns to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 62.8% pass rate.

Right now, the 5th-fastest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Browns.

The model projects Jerome Ford to garner 4.3 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

Jerome Ford's 21.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 16.1.

Jerome Ford's 4.2 adjusted receptions per game this year reflects a substantial boost in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 2.6 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Browns are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

When it comes to pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

As it relates to linebackers rushing the passer, Washington's group of LBs has been outstanding this year, grading out as the 8th-best in the NFL.

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