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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Browns.

The model projects Jerome Ford to notch 3.9 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 85th percentile when it comes to RBs.

Jerome Ford slots into the 84th percentile when it comes to RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive usage) with a superb 16.8 figure since the start of last season.

Jerome Ford has been one of the top pass-game RBs since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 2.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 82nd percentile.

Jerome Ford's receiving reliability have improved this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 72.8% to 88.6%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Browns, who are favored by 6.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 55.4% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

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