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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 1

Cleveland Browns vs Dallas Cowboys

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.7 total plays run: the most among all games this week.

The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Browns last year (a whopping 63.8 per game on average).

With an elite 46.7% Route Participation% (82nd percentile) last year, Jerome Ford rates as one of the pass-game running backs with the highest volume in the league.

The model projects Jerome Ford to accumulate 3.2 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.

When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Browns profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Browns as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.0 pass attempts per game against the Dallas Cowboys defense last year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

The Cowboys pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (74.5%) to RBs last year (74.5%).

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Dallas's LB corps has been exceptional last year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.

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