Jerome Ford Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.0 plays per game.
In this game, Jerome Ford is predicted by the projections to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.1 targets.
Jerome Ford slots into the 86th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 16.6 mark this year.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all pass attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 52.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

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