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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 4

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Browns have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 62.0 plays per game.

Jerome Ford has run a route on 44.2% of his team's dropbacks this year, putting him in the 79th percentile among RBs.

The predictive model expects Jerome Ford to total 3.1 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 77th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 55.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Jerome Ford has been one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to RBs, completing a mere 71.4% of passes thrown his way this year, ranking in the 19th percentile.

When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Baltimore's collection of safeties has been very good since the start of last season, projecting as the 3rd-best in the league.

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