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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-174/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.

The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.

The model projects Jerome Ford to notch 3.8 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 81st percentile among running backs.

Jerome Ford ranks in the 84th percentile among RB WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) with a remarkable 17.3 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Jerome Ford comes in as one of the worst possession receivers in football when it comes to running backs, hauling in a mere 71.7% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 19th percentile.

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