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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-169/+123).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -169.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Joe Flacco.

The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.3 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in football.

The model projects Jerome Ford to accumulate 3.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 6th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 53.0% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

With a poor 69.0% Adjusted Completion Rate (10th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 9th-best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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