Jerome Ford Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 66.5 plays per game.
With a top-tier 49.6% Route% (83rd percentile) this year, Jerome Ford has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in football.
The projections expect Jerome Ford to garner 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 56.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
With a subpar 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate (5th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford places as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.

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