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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Denver Broncos vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Browns have called the most plays in the league this year, averaging a monstrous 66.9 plays per game.
  • Jerome Ford ranks in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 16.5 mark this year.
  • The Cleveland O-line grades out as the 8th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • With a stellar 2.3 adjusted catches per game (75th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford ranks among the top running backs in the pass game in the league.
  • The Denver Broncos linebackers rank as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 52.0% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The leading projections forecast the Browns to run the 7th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.5 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Denver Broncos, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.9 per game) this year.
  • With a poor 69.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (9th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford places as one of the most hard-handed receivers in football among running backs.

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