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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Jerome Ford Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+116/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.

Opposing teams have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 9th-most in the league.

The leading projections forecast Jerome Ford to accumulate 3.9 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 79th percentile among running backs.

Jerome Ford's 18.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in football: 86th percentile for RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

With a poor 70.2% Adjusted Completion Rate (11th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford rates as one of the most unreliable receivers in the league among RBs.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Baltimore's group of safeties has been phenomenal this year, grading out as the best in football.

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