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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to pass on 62.6% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to have 135.4 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most among all games this week.

The Browns have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a staggering 60.9 plays per game.

Jerome Ford's ball-catching skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch% rising from 72.8% to 86.2%.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect Jerome Ford to be much less involved in his offense's pass attack in this week's contest (7.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (12.6% in games he has played).

In regards to air yards, Jerome Ford grades out in just the 12th percentile among running backs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.

The Browns offensive line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Jerome Ford's 3.6 adjusted yards per target this year shows an impressive drop-off in his receiving ability over last year's 5.1 mark.

This year, the strong Chargers defense has yielded a meager 71.4% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the smallest rate in the NFL.

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