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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the league (62.7% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Browns.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cleveland Browns to run the 4th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The most plays in the NFL have been run by the Cleveland Browns since the start of last season (a monstrous 63.9 per game on average).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been a bit of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (35.3 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The leading projections forecast Jerome Ford to notch 4.8 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • Jerome Ford's pass-game efficiency has declined this year, compiling a mere 3.45 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.10 figure last year.
  • Jerome Ford comes in as one of the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 6.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 12th percentile.

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