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Jerome Ford

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cleveland Browns to pass on 58.6% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest clip among all teams this week.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the projection model to see 137.5 offensive plays run: the most on the slate this week.

The most plays in the NFL have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a colossal 62.6 per game on average).

Jerome Ford has run a route on 50.3% of his team's dropbacks this year, ranking him in the 84th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather report calls for 15-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Jerome Ford has totaled a paltry -4.0 air yards per game this year: just 11th percentile among running backs.

The Cleveland Browns offensive line profiles as the 7th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

Jerome Ford's pass-catching efficiency has tailed off this season, averaging just 3.83 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 5.10 rate last season.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's unit has been excellent this year, ranking as the 6th-best in the NFL.

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