Jerome Ford Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Cleveland Browns · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 22, 2023 11:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 66.0 plays per game.
In this game, Jerome Ford is predicted by the projections to place in the 78th percentile when it comes to RBs with 3.1 targets.
In regards to air yards, Jerome Ford ranks in the towering 98th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a staggering 9.0 per game. (given that they are usually targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is far more noteworthy than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).
Jerome Ford slots into the 86th percentile when it comes to running back WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a superb 16.6 mark this year.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Browns are favored this week, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Browns to pass on 52.8% of their downs: the 4th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
With a feeble 4.17 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (24th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford rates as one of the best pass-game running backs in the NFL in the open field.

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