Jerome Ford Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Jerome Ford

NFL · Player Props

Jerome Ford

RB · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jerome Ford Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 66.5 plays per game.
With a top-tier 49.6% Route% (83rd percentile) this year, Jerome Ford has been as one of the pass-catching RBs with the highest volume in football.
The projections expect Jerome Ford to garner 4.1 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 56.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
With a subpar 66.6% Adjusted Completion Rate (5th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford places as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL when it comes to running backs.
With a bad 4.1 adjusted yards per target (10th percentile) this year, Jerome Ford rates among the bottom running backs in the pass game in the NFL.
Jerome Ford comes in as one of the weakest RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging just 5.41 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.
The Los Angeles Rams defense has surrendered the 2nd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 23.0) vs. RBs this year.

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