Jerick McKinnon Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receptions

Kansas City Chiefs vs Buffalo Bills · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 11, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 64.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Chiefs are expected by the projection model to run 65.5 total plays in this game: the 9th-most among all teams this week.
In this week's game, Jerick McKinnon is expected by the predictive model to land in the 89th percentile when it comes to RBs with 4.6 targets.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Bills defense this year: 9th-fewest in the NFL.
When it comes to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Buffalo's collection of safeties has been one of the most skilled this year, projecting as the 10th-best in the league.

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