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Jerick McKinnon

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 36.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 36.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 2nd-most pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 63.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 35.1 pass attempts per game against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 7th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Jerick McKinnon to garner 5.4 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 91st percentile among running backs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a giant 8.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a mere 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the league since the start of last season.

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