Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Jerick McKinnon

NFL · Player Props

Jerick McKinnon

RB · Kansas City Chiefs

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 12, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jerick McKinnon Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-111/-111).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 5th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 64.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Chiefs to run the 6th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Kansas City Chiefs have called the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.8 plays per game.
Jerick McKinnon has gone out for more passes this season (46.4% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (33.0%).
THE BLITZ projects Jerick McKinnon to total 3.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among running backs.

Favors Under

The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
Jerick McKinnon has accumulated quite a few less receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (30.0).
Jerick McKinnon's possession skills have diminished this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 84.0% to 77.9%.
Jerick McKinnon's pass-catching efficiency has worsened this year, averaging a measly 6.47 yards-per-target compared to a 9.20 figure last year.
The Denver Broncos defense has yielded the 6th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 28.0) to running backs this year.

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