Jelani Woods Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Jelani Woods

NFL · Player Props

Jelani Woods

TE · New York Jets

Touchdowns

New England Patriots vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2026

Updated Oct 18, 2026 1:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jelani Woods Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2244/-3474).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a big 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the New York Jets to pass on 60.1% of their downs: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Calm weather conditions (like the 3-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air attack volume, and lower ground volume.
When it comes to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Jets grades out as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have just 124.5 plays on offense called: the lowest number among all games this week.
Jelani Woods has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which places him in the 1st percentile when it comes to TEs.
The Patriots defense has conceded the 8th-fewest receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.20 per game this year.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, New England's unit has been dreadful this year, profiling as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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