Jelani Woods Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Jelani Woods

NFL · Player Props

Jelani Woods

TE · New York Jets

Touchdowns

New York Jets vs Cleveland Browns · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Jelani Woods Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1776/-2579).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Browns defense has been something of pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing teams to attempt the 3rd-most passes in the NFL (41.0 per game) this year.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 7th-best in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.
This year, the feeble Browns defense has surrendered a colossal 0.75 receiving TDs per game to opposing TEs: the 6th-highest rate in the league.
This year, the daunting Browns run defense has given up a measly 0.00 touchdowns on the ground per game to opposing teams: the lowest rate in the NFL.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Cleveland's unit has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in the league.

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the New York Jets as the 4th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 53.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
With a 51.9% rate of running the ball near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year, the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL in this setting has been the Jets.
The projections expect the New York Jets offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 30.19 seconds per play.
Jelani Woods has been not been very involved his team's passing offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% this year, which ranks him in the 1st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

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