Jelani Woods Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Jelani Woods

NFL · Player Props

Jelani Woods

TE · New York Jets

Touchdowns

Detroit Lions vs New York Jets · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 3:48 PM EST

Analysis

Jelani Woods Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1567/-1900).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Jets are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their typical game plan.
Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jets to pass on 61.2% of their plays: the 5th-greatest rate on the slate this week.
The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.
Opposing offenses have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the Detroit Lions defense since the start of last season: 9th-most in the NFL.
The Detroit Lions defense has surrendered the 4th-most receiving touchdowns in the league to tight ends: 0.63 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The model projects the Jets offense to be the 3rd-slowest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 30.50 seconds per snap.
As it relates to air yards, Jelani Woods ranks in just the 19th percentile among tight ends since the start of last season, averaging just 2.0 per game.
The Detroit Lions pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.8%) to tight ends since the start of last season (67.8%).
As it relates to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Detroit's unit has been terrible since the start of last season, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

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