Jelani Woods Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Jelani Woods

NFL · Player Props

Jelani Woods

TE · Indianapolis Colts

Receiving Yards

Indianapolis Colts vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 1:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Jelani Woods Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Colts are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 61.3 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Jelani Woods to accumulate 4.5 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 82nd percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 59.3% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 6th-least in the NFL.
The Indianapolis Colts O-line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
Jelani Woods has been among the weakest tight ends in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 2nd percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in the league (59.7%) to TEs this year (59.7%).

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