Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Jeff Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Jeff Wilson

RB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Miami Dolphins · Week 7, 2023

Updated Oct 23, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in football last year at opening holes for rushers.
Jeff Wilson has generated 55.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground last year, one of the largest figures in the NFL when it comes to RBs (80th percentile).
Jeff Wilson's rushing efficiency (4.97 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in the NFL last year (83rd percentile when it comes to running backs).

Favors Under

A passing game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a -3-point underdog in this week's game.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Miami Dolphins to run on 38.3% of their downs: the 4th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
At the present time, the 8th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) according to the model is the Dolphins.
While Jeff Wilson has earned 46.3% of his team's run game usage in games he has played last year, our trusted projections expect him to be a less important option in Miami's ground game in this game at 21.0%.
This year, the formidable Philadelphia Eagles run defense has allowed a feeble 65.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.

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