Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Jeff Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Jeff Wilson

RB · Miami Dolphins

Rushing Yards

Miami Dolphins vs Houston Texans · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Jeff Wilson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 89.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 87.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 89.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dolphins are a 3-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Miami Dolphins as the 10th-most run-heavy team on the slate this week with a 43.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to accumulate 19.1 carries in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among RBs.
THE BLITZ projects Jeffery Wilson to be a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this week (66.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (48.3% in games he has played).
The Miami Dolphins offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in run blocking.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Miami Dolphins have run the 6th-least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 55.6 plays per game.
The Miami Dolphins have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 15.6% of the time since the start of last season (6th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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