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Jeff Wilson

Jeff Wilson Receptions
Player Prop Week 6

Atlanta Falcons vs San Francisco 49ers

Jeff Wilson Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -148 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -162.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 42.8 pass attempts per game versus the Atlanta Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.

Jeffery Wilson has been used more as a potential pass-catcher this season (45.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last season (27.6%).

Jeffery Wilson has been among the best possession receivers in the NFL among running backs, hauling in a terrific 91.8% of balls thrown his way this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has given up the 3rd-highest Completion% in football (93.9%) versus RBs this year (93.9%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 49ers are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 56.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The San Francisco 49ers have run the 9th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 56.6 plays per game.

The Atlanta Falcons safeties profile as the 7th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

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