Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jeff Wilson

NFL · Player Props

Jeff Wilson

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Jeff Wilson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks defense has given up the most receiving yards per game in the NFL (61.0) to running backs since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has surrendered the highest Completion% in the league (89.5%) to RBs since the start of last season (89.5%).
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has exhibited poor efficiency against running backs since the start of last season, surrendering 7.85 yards-per-target to the position: the 2nd-most in football.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a giant 8.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 120.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

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