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J.D. McKissic

J.D. McKissic Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars

J.D. McKissic Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+103/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.

The Commanders rank as the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 40.9% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.

Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most yards in the league (130 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

J.D. McKissic has been among the weakest RBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.02 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 20th percentile.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

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