J.D. McKissic Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

J.D. McKissic

NFL · Player Props

J.D. McKissic

RB · Washington Commanders

Rushing Yards

Washington Commanders vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM UTC

Analysis

J.D. McKissic Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (+103/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Commanders are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
The Commanders rank as the 3rd-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 40.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Washington Commanders as the 7th-fastest paced defense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, causing opposing offenses to average 26.90 seconds per play.
Opposing offenses have run for the 8th-most yards in the league (130 per game) vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst DE corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

Favors Under

J.D. McKissic has been among the weakest RBs in football at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a measly 2.02 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 20th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box versus opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

More J.D. McKissic Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow