Jaylen Warren Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Touchdowns

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+101/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -126 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Pittsburgh Steelers to pass on 60.7% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 64.8% red zone pass rate.
The predictive model expects the Steelers to be the 4th-quickest paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, causing opposing offenses to average 27.70 seconds per play.
The Cleveland Browns defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (37.0 per game) this year.
Jaylen Warren has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 10.3% this year, which ranks in the 86th percentile when it comes to running backs.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Steelers are favored in this week's contest, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their standard approach.
When it comes to air yards, Jaylen Warren grades out in just the 6th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -7.0 per game.
The Browns defense has allowed the fewest receiving touchdowns in the NFL to running backs: 0.00 per game this year.

More Jaylen Warren Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow