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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New York Jets vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 55.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 55.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Steelers being a 3-point favorite this week.

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Pittsburgh Steelers to run on 44.0% of their chances: the 9th-greatest rate among all teams this week.

The 6th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Steelers last year (a massive 59.6 per game on average).

This week, Jaylen Warren is predicted by the model to finish in the 84th percentile among running backs with 12.8 carries.

While Jaylen Warren has accounted for 25.5% of his team's rush attempts in games he has played last year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Pittsburgh's running game in this game at 46.3%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.0 total plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

Last year, the feeble New York Jets run defense has conceded a monstrous 4.38 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's rushing attack: the 23rd-worst rate in football.

As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, New York's unit has been phenomenal last year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

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