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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Indianapolis Colts vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Jaylen Warren has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (32.3% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (16.3%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers offensive line ranks as the 10th-best in football last year at opening holes for runners.
  • Jaylen Warren has rushed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (42.0) this season than he did last season (23.0).
  • Jaylen Warren's running effectiveness (4.97 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the best in football this year (88th percentile among running backs).
  • Jaylen Warren grades out as one of the top RBs in the league at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging an outstanding 3.94 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 10th-most sluggish paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Steelers.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

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