Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Rushing Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Jaylen Warren to be a more integral piece of his offense's run game this week (36.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (16.3% in games he has played).
The Pittsburgh Steelers O-line ranks as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season at opening holes for runners.
Jaylen Warren has been among the leading RBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.08 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while grading out in the 75th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing squads have rushed for the least yards in the league (just 77 per game) versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season.
The San Francisco 49ers safeties profile as the best unit in the league since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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