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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Atlanta Falcons vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Jaylen Warren Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-115/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.

The Atlanta Falcons have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-least in football. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone no-huddle on 15.2% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-most in the NFL). This speeds up the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-least plays run on the slate this week at 125.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 14.9% of the time since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

The Pittsburgh Steelers have utilized some form of misdirection on a mere 35.9% of their play-calls since the start of last season (least in the league), which likely makes the offense more predictable and less effective.

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