Jaylen Warren Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receptions

Pittsburgh Steelers vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:31 PM EST

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a whopping 61.5 plays per game.
Opposing QBs have averaged 35.9 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the NFL.
Jaylen Warren has been among the most reliable receivers in football among RBs, completing a terrific 88.1% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 5th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (72.7%) vs. RBs since the start of last season (72.7%).
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

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