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Jaylen Warren

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Los Angeles Rams vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Steelers are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Pittsburgh Steelers are forecasted by the model to call 65.5 total plays in this contest: the 8th-most on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Jaylen Warren to notch 5.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jaylen Warren has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this year (15.6% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (6.3%).
  • Jaylen Warren's 32.0 adjusted yards per game on passes this season indicates a a material gain in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 14.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Steelers this year (only 54.6 per game on average).
  • Jaylen Warren has notched a meager -7.0 air yards per game this year: just 7th percentile among RBs.
  • The Steelers O-line profiles as the 3rd-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • With a feeble 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (2nd percentile) this year, Jaylen Warren places as one of the leading pass-game RBs in the league in space.
  • The Los Angeles Rams defense has given up the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 21.0) to running backs this year.

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