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Jaylen Warren
NFL · Player Props
Jaylen Warren
RB · Pittsburgh Steelers
Receiving Yards
Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2023 Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • The Steelers rank as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate.
  • The model projects the Steelers to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to total 4.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
Favors Under
  • The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Jaylen Warren has totaled a mere -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 6th percentile when it comes to running backs.
  • Jaylen Warren's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 88.1% to 77.5%.
  • Jaylen Warren has been among the bottom RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.
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