Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

My Account Log Out

reorder

Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 4, 2023

Updated Oct 1, 2023 11:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers rank as the 8th-most pass-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) since the start of last season with a 64.6% pass rate.
The model projects the Steelers to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 67.3 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 10th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a massive 60.4 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Our trusted projections expect Jaylen Warren to total 4.4 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 93rd percentile when it comes to RBs.

Favors Under

The Steelers are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Opposing QBs have averaged 31.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
Jaylen Warren has totaled a mere -3.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: a lowly 6th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Jaylen Warren's possession skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 88.1% to 77.5%.
Jaylen Warren has been among the bottom RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.

More Jaylen Warren Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow