Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Jaylen Warren

NFL · Player Props

Jaylen Warren

RB · Pittsburgh Steelers

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Jaylen Warren Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Steelers have been the most pass-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 75.4% pass rate.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have run the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Steelers to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Cleveland Browns defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.
Jaylen Warren has totaled a paltry -2.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 11th percentile among RBs.
Jaylen Warren's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 88.1% to 82.7%.
Jaylen Warren's pass-game efficiency has tailed off this year, accumulating a mere 2.52 yards-per-target compared to a 6.99 mark last year.

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